Predict likelihood of ACP/HLB dispersal into CA commercial citrus under different control protocols
Principal Investigator Affiliation:
North Carolina State University
- Timothy Gottwald
- Weiqi Luo
- Neil McRoberts
Each CA citrus landscape (residential/commercial/mixed) and infestation/infection locations present different drivers of ACP/HLB development and dispersal. As HLB+ detections arise, timely and efficient management decisions are required to have any success in slowing spread and preserving commercial citrus. Our stochastic model readily analyzes ACP/HLB management efficacy in large-scale landscapes facing different epidemic pressures or resource capabilities through scenario-based simulations and cost-benefit analyses. Outputs assist CA growers and regulatory agencies in designing cost-effective control protocols and prioritizing resources/efforts/controls as the ACP/HLB situation develops.